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Emotional Strategies for Staying Rational During Volatility

Published en
9 min read

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Did you ever feel your stomach drop when investing plunged? When your investments rise, do you feel the same excitement? You're not the only person who feels this way. Even the best investment plans can be ruined by powerful emotions.

We'll talk about the reasons why you react this way, and more importantly, how to keep calm when markets are crazy. - Learn more about Affirm Wealth Advisors

Why Your brain can sabotage Your investments

Your relationship to money is not only about numbers. It is deeply personal. It is shaped and formed by your whole life.

The hidden forces behind your financial decision-making

Think you make rational money decisions? Think again. Your subconscious mind is responsible for most of your financial decisions.

  • Your brain processes losses far more intensely than gains (losing $1,000 feels worse than winning $1,000 feels good)
  • Market crashes are now more real than ever before thanks to the evolution of wiring
  • Fear and Greed drive more investment decision than any logical analysis.

How your financial past shapes your present

Remember how your parents talked about money when you were growing up? These early experiences left an imprint on your financial reactions today.

  • Early money experiences create neural pathways that last for decades
  • Market crashes can create persistent biases
  • The impact of your financial history on your risk tolerance is greater than that of any finance class

Why Knowing Better Doesn’t Mean Doing better

It's a frustrating fact: just because you know what to do, doesn't mean that you will. Even financial experts can make emotional decisions.

  • Market panic can take over logical reasoning in seconds
  • Implementation gaps cost investors more than knowledge gaps
  • It is rare that information alone will change deep-seated behaviors.

Behavioral Finance: The Science Behind Market Madness

Traditional economics assumed we were all rational investors. Behavioral Finance reveals that emotions are a systematic driver of market movements.

From Rational Theory To Emotional Reality

The field emerged when researchers noticed widespread patterns of irrational financial behavior:

  • Classical economics could not explain why markets overreact consistently
  • The 1970s saw the revolution in understanding brought about by psychologists Kahneman & Tversky
  • The 2008 financial crisis has pushed behavioral finance to the mainstream

Why Markets Aren’t Always Rational

Despite what the textbooks say, markets aren't perfectly efficient. Human psychology creates persistent inefficiencies:

  • Assets are often mispriced due to emotional reactions
  • Investor herding leads to boom-bust cycles that exceed fundamental values
  • Psychological factors explain why bubbles form and markets crash

Investment Principles that Every Investor Must Know

By understanding the core concepts, you will be able to recognize when emotions may cloud your judgment.

  • Loss aversion - Losses hurt twice as much as gains of the same value.
  • Recency bias is the tendency to give too much weighting to what happened most recently.
  • The anchoring effect is when decisions are tied to arbitrarily chosen reference points, rather than fundamentals.

The Emotional Traps of Investing We All Fall into

Your brain contains built-in short cuts that helped our forefathers survive but can destroy your investment return. Let's look at these biases and how to overcome them.

Fear-Based mistakes that cost money

Fear drives more costly investing errors than any other emotion:

  • Loss Aversion makes you sell winners prematurely and hold back losers too long.
  • When opportunities are most abundant, risk aversion is at its highest.
  • Catastrophizing causes excessive cash positions, which inflation slowly erodes

When Greed takes the Wheel

The optimism bias can lead you to take excessive risks in bull markets.

  • Overconfidence leads you to overestimate risks and underestimate your abilities
  • FOMO (fear to miss out) makes you pursue hot sectors.
  • Selective memory helps you forget past mistakes during market euphoria

Cognitive Blindspots that Every Investor has

Your brain is constantly looking for information that will confirm your beliefs.

  • You may ignore warnings in investments that you love because of confirmation bias
  • Mental accounting can lead to inconsistencies between accounts when it comes to risk assessment
  • You're bound to lose strategies due to the "sunk cost" fallacy because you've already invested so much.

The Four Market Cycles and Their Emotional Roller Coaster

Markets move in psychological cycles as predictable as their price patterns. You can gain a huge advantage by recognizing the emotional state of the market.

Bull Market Psychology, The Path to Euphoria?

Bull markets tend to follow an emotional progression that is predictable:

  • Early optimism offers solid opportunities with reasonable valuations
  • Middle Appreciation builds confidence, but can also increase complacency
  • The euphoria of the moment is a warning sign that rationality has been abandoned.

Bear Market Psychology - From Denial to Opportunity

Bear markets are a predictable source of emotional reactions.

  • As markets begin to decline, denial keeps investors invested.
  • Fear of losses prompts widespread sales
  • When the pessimism reaches its maximum, capitulation can create the most opportunities

The psychology of market turn-points

Markets transitions begin with investor psychology before prices.

  • Excessive optimism often signals market tops before prices actually peak
  • Market bottoms are usually preceded by widespread capitulation
  • Price movements are often preceded by sentiment indicators that lead to price changes in weeks or even months

Practical Ways to Manage your Emotions during Market Chaos

It's possible to master the art of managing your emotional reactions to market swings. Use these techniques to remain rational during turbulent market conditions.

Mindfulness practices that improve investment decisions

By becoming aware of your emotional reactions, you can make rationaler decisions.

  • Regular meditation improves emotional regulation during market stress
  • Body scanning can help identify anxiety and its impact on your decisions
  • Labeling emotions ("I'm feeling scared right now") reduces the intensity of reactions

Why Investment Journaling Will Transform Results

This simple action improves the decision quality dramatically.

  • Investment journals provide objective documentation of your thinking
  • Tracking emotions alongside decisions reveals harmful patterns
  • Regular reflections can help you identify your personal triggers for financial decisions.

Psychological Distance: The Power of Distance

By viewing the market volatility with a detached view, emotional reactivity is reduced:

  • Imagine giving advice to someone else instead of yourself
  • Use third-person language when considering decisions ("What should Jane do?")
  • Prioritize long-term results over short-term feelings by visualizing your future self

Building an Investment Strategy That Works With Your Psychology

Your psychological tendencies are important to your investment strategy. Aligning the approach to your emotional realities can improve long-term results.

Investing Rules-Based: Emotional Circuitbreakers

It is important to establish clear investment rules in advance. This will prevent emotional decisions.

  • Pre-commitment strategies prevent impulsive decisions during volatility
  • When emotions resist, rebalancing rules force a contrarian response.
  • Systematic investment plans eliminate timing decisions entirely

Finding Your Sleep-at-Night Factor

The right position sizing lets you stay invested even during market turbulence:

  • Positions small enough to prevent panic selling during downturns
  • Diversification reduces emotional investment attachment
  • Risk management is a way to prevent catastrophic losses and abandonment.

Matching time horizons with emotional capacity

Different time horizons require different psychological approaches:

  • A longer time horizon reduces emotional reactivity towards short-term volatility
  • Different strategies to achieve different goals can improve overall stability
  • Mental preparation for expected volatility reduces surprise reactions

The Social Side of Market Psychology

Markets are social organizations where collective psychology is driving price movements. Understanding these dynamics allows you to resist unhealthy social pressures.

Why We Can't Stop Following the Herd

Humans evolved to be a group-following species for safety.

  • Investors are attracted to popular investments near the top of the market by social proof
  • Herding helps explain why markets can overshoot to both directions
  • Contrarian opportunities emerge when herding behavior reaches extremes

Media Narratives: How they Influence Market Movements

Financial media can amplify emotional extremes by compelling stories

  • News coverage is a reflection of market movement, rather than a leader.
  • Media narratives simplify complex dynamics to dramatic storylines
  • During times of market stress, headlines can be more emotionally charged.

Think Independently Even When Everyone Agrees

Independent thinking has many benefits:

  • Cultivate a diverse information diet to reduce narrative capture
  • Search for disconfirming evidence in order to support investment theories
  • The best results are achieved when you think contrary to the market.

Creating a Healthy Relationship with Money

The way you view money in general will influence your investment decisions. Clarifying your money philosophy can improve the quality of your decisions during market fluctuations.

Redefining Wealth in Your Own Terms

Wealth means something different to everyone.

  • Financial freedom is more satisfying than pure accumulation
  • Understanding your "enoughness" can reduce harmful comparisons
  • Time control is often more important than absolute riches

Aligning your money with Your Values

Investment decisions reflect your deeper values:

  • Value-aligned investments reduce cognitive dissonance during volatility
  • Personal purpose provides stability when markets become turbulent
  • Ethics creates a deeper commitment to long-term strategy

Finding Your Balance Between Today and Tomorrow

Money can be used for both immediate needs and long-term goals.

  • Unnecessary sacrifices can be made by overspending.
  • The future anxiety of not saving enough can reduce the enjoyment you get today
  • Your personal balance point depends on individual circumstances and values

Your Action Plan: Creating Your Emotional Management System

It is only when you put theory into action that it becomes valuable. Let's develop a personalized strategy for emotional management.

Develop Your Investor Policy Statement

An investment policy written down can serve as a point of reference during turbulent market conditions.

  • Document your investment philosophy before market stress occurs
  • Include specific guidelines for actions during market extremes
  • Review annually but modify rarely to maintain consistency

Create Your Own Circuit breakers

Predetermined pause points prevent reactive decisions during high-emotion periods:

  • Requirement of waiting periods prior to significant portfolio adjustments
  • Asset allocation guardrails that limit maximum adjustments
  • Trusted advisors that provide perspective and guidance during emotionally charged periods

Turn every market cycle in to a learning experience

Market experiences can be turned into valuable lessons with a systematic review.

  • The emotional patterns that are revealed by the after-action review
  • Focus on your process rather than just outcomes
  • Even small improvements add up over the lifetime of an investment

The Bottom Line: Your psychology is your edge

The greatest investment advantage is to manage your emotions. While you may not be able to control the markets themselves, you are able to control how you respond. That is probably the most valuable skill in investing.

What emotional traps in investing have you fallen prey to? How have managed to control your emotions when the market is volatile? Share your experience in the comments section!

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